Business Cycle

GDP

Gross Domestic Product or GDP measures the value of a nation’s output over a period of time

A nation’s business cycle will display regular fluctuations in economic activity (levels of spending, production and employment) and GDP

Business Cycle Stages

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1. Recovery / Upswing

  • The economy is recovering from a slump and production and employment is beginning to rise
  • Customers are feeling more secure in their employment and are spending more (CONSUMER CONFIDENCE)
  • Firms begin to invest more in FIXED ASSETS and increase their capacity
  • Increased capacity involves more workers being employed

2. Boom

  • Follows the recovery stage
  • In this stage production levels are high so employment is also high
  • Expenditure from businesses, consumers and the Government increase as confidence grows
  • The economy approaches maximum capacity and shortages / bottlenecks occur as raw materials run low
  • Skilled workers become scarce and businesses try to attract workers with higher pay
  • High wages and scarcity of resources lead to inflation

3. Recession

  • The UK Government increases interest rates to curb inflation
  • Rising prices of labour and materials mean that businesses costs of production rise significantly and eat into business profits
  • Increases in interest rates prevent firms from borrowing and investing money
  • Production begins to fall so workers laid off

4. Slump

  • Often follows a recession
  • Production is low and unemployment is high
  • Demand is low
  • Governments begin to take action by increasing their own spending to try to create jobs or lowering interest rates to boost demand

 

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